NBA新賽季MVP大猜想！詹姆斯？庫裡？哈登？到底花落誰家？
上賽季的威少單核帶隊，歷史性地轟出場均三雙，生生地把MVP從哈登手裡給搶了過來。這賽季的MVP競爭，只會比上賽季更加難解難分。
詹姆斯：
1、詹姆斯已經不再年輕，最近也受到踝傷困擾，
2、經歷過大換血後，新陣容、新打法，騎士的戰績註定不會非常出色
3、身邊多了這麼多幫手，詹姆斯不需要再大包大攬，資料自然不會那麼好看
威少：
威少的打法極具衝擊力，這一點在新賽季並不會有所改變
能放，是否還能收？身邊多了兩個全明星的威少能否做到收放自如？
雷霆的戰績如果能很好看的話，對威少是一個很大的優勢
哈登：
多了保羅這個幫手，哈登的打法並不需要改變
在進攻端，哈登反而能專注進攻，得分有望提高
火箭的戰績，決定了哈登的MVP排名
庫裡：
勇士這支宇宙艦隊，早早地鎖定了常規賽第一
那麼多優秀的隊友，在MVP排名中，反而不是優勢
庫裡的防守，是否能更進一步
杜蘭特：
上賽季的FMVP歸了杜蘭特，只說明了杜蘭特在總決賽表現確實非常好
勇士在常規賽並不會遇到很大挑戰，最大的功勞是庫裡，而非杜蘭特。有庫裡才有這個體系。
杜蘭特相比庫裡，最大的優勢在他的防守。無限換防的能力為他加分不少。
萊昂納德：
相比以上所有候選人，萊昂納德是最有機會獲得MVP的。
只有萊昂納德是單核帶隊，幫手更少、資料更好
萊昂納德是最佳防守球員的有力競爭者，防守能力自然不必多說
萊昂納德的得分能力、組織能力是否能更上一層樓？
馬刺的常規賽是否有所保留？
字母哥：
天賦
天賦
天賦
是否能把天賦兌換成MVP，就看字母哥新賽季的了！
外媒排名：
1威少
Russell Westbrook may have the top MVP odds at the sportsbooks, but that's largely because Vegas is counting on bettors to recognize his name and the fact that he won the trophy last year. Evaluating from a purely objective standpoint, the Oklahoma City Thunder point guard shouldn't be the odds-on favorite to repeat.
But he certainly could. If last season proved anything, it's that betting against a motivated Westbrook is usually a bad idea.
Paul George will be taking away touches and making it tougher for Westbrook to lead the league in scoring for a second consecutive season—and the third time in four years—but his presence will also elevate OKC up the Western Conference hierarchy. Wins help, and the floor general will receive plenty of credit if this new-look bunch goes from 47 victories in 2016-17 to pushing toward 60 in 2017-18.
But then there's the matter of the triple-doubles.
Ultimately, those are arbitrary measures. A triple-double can be unique rather than impactful since a game with 10 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists qualifies as one, but one with 75 points, 32 rebounds and nine assists doesn't. That may be reductio ad absurdum, but logic doesn't always seem to prevail when talking about this concept.
Because Westbrook averaged a trip-dub for an entire year (the first player to do so since Oscar Robertson), he almost has to hit the necessary marks again if he wants to repeat as MVP. Average even 9.9 rebounds or assists, and a large swath of voters might be left so unnecessarily unimpressed that they jettison his chances.
On the flip side, become the first player in NBA history to average a triple-double for two consecutive seasons while suiting up next to another bona fide star? That would give voters all the reason they'd need.
2杜蘭特
During the 2017 NBA Finals, Kevin Durant averaged 35.2 points, 8.2 rebounds, 5.4 assists, 1.0 steals and 1.6 blocks while shooting 55.6 percent from the field, 47.4 percent from downtown and 92.7 percent from the charity stripe. If he can keep up that pace for an entire regular season, he'll win MVP. Guaranteed.
Of course, those aren't realistic expectations. If he joined the 50/40/90 club with room to spare while posting 35 points per game and contributing in every other facet, Michael Jordan himself might publicly hand over his G.O.A.T. title in a formal ceremony.
Durant's regular-season averages from his first season with the Dubs are far more attainable: 25.1 points, 8.3 rebounds, 4.8 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.6 blocks while slashing 53.7/37.5/87.5. Had he maintained those while avoiding any major injuries, he might have stood a puncher's chance in the MVP battle that wound up featuring just Russell Westbrook and James Harden.
But we're used to this from Durant now. After the Finals, we might even expect more.
The volume elements are fine. So long as he can replicate those, and maybe push past five dimes per contest in an appeal to the world's round-number-bias subscribers, he'll only need to focus on upping his efficiency levels. Obviously, we're picking at nits here, but a slash line closer to 50/40/90 would go a long way. So long as he hits two of the three qualifiers, he'll be in great shape.
Then, as the final element, he needs to win.
If the Dubs fail to improve upon last year's 67-15 record, impressive as it may already be, Durant and Stephen Curry will split too much of the vote and effectively cancel out each other's candidacy. Only if they get closer to 70 or exceed that magic number will one be able to pull ahead by enough to have a legitimate shot at victory during award season.
3萊昂納德
The San Antonio Spurs finally feel a bit vulnerable. They've been a dynastic force in the NBA ever since drafting Tim Duncan with the top pick of the 1997 selection process—winning five titles and making the playoffs every year for a two-decade span certainly qualifies as a dynasty, especially when consistently remaining near the top of the Western Conference—but old age and declining depth make them seem a bit less threatening as we move into 2017-18.
We do need to hit the brakes, though, as Adam Spinella made sure to note while looking at this topic in depth for NBA Math:
"Something about the current iteration feels different, though. The old guard, for all their timeless and shatterproof winning ways, are either gone or finally on the decline. The new guard, built around a fresh face of the franchise, is a strange hodgepodge of ring-chasing veterans, youngsters with few known qualities and the supporting cast from a championship run now four years in the rearview mirror.
Important disclaimer: This piece is not declaring that the Spurs and their dynasty are dead, or even dying. To say they are in danger of missing the playoffs hyperbolizes concern. Core pieces return from a 60-win squad that saw its season end in large part due to injuries. San Antonio remains a high-end team—one that will keep building upon its incredible list of postseason appearances. Insinuating otherwise is a misrepresentation of this conversation."
Kawhi Leonard is the one and only reason there's no danger of a lottery finish. He's also the reason the Spurs are still prohibitive favorites to earn home-court advantage during the postseason's opening round, even as the Western Conference grows stronger around them.
And if the two-way superstar leads them to one of the West's top two seeds or throws a serious wrinkle into the Golden State Warriors' quest for superiority, he'll be the league MVP.
Leonard was close enough last year. He trailed only Russell Westbrook and James Harden in the award voting, receiving nine of the 101 possible first-place votes. Now, he just needs to keep asserting himself as a go-to scorer and defensive menace while sparking one victory after another.
Westbrook is playing alongside Paul George this coming season. Harden is working with Chris Paul. Leonard is operating next to a largely similar supporting cast that may actually be a bit worse in 2017-18. The status quo could win him the sport's highest individual honor, which is why it almost feels misleading that he "only" has the third-best odds.
4詹姆斯
5哈登
6字母哥
7庫裡
8濃眉哥
9保羅喬治
10克裡斯保羅
你怎麼看新賽季MVP的歸屬呢？